• Assessing cost reduction proposals and past programmes for a ‘Take private’
  • As part of a ‘Take private’, provided an opinion on a PE House’s cost reduction plan, analysing the cost structure of a major player in the music industry and its recent major restructuring programmes

Major music industry player

Assessing cost reduction proposals and past restructuring programmes

Prior to announcing its annual results, a major player in the Music industry decided to make itself available by auction to bidders, with public reporting timetables effectively providing an immovable deadline to the process. Changes in consumer purchasing behaviour and piracy had challenged current industry business models, led to reduced sales, and necessitated major and regular cost cutting and restructuring. The business had recently announced two profits warnings and major cost cutting programmes. In parallel, with the assistance of an expert industry team – effectively a management team in waiting – a PE firm had constructed its own cost savings plan. Diligence work needed to address the risks of overlap and the risk of damage to core business through cuts being too severe.

Financial, commercial and operational due diligence was needed to support to a PE firm’s assessment of an opportunity to take private this music industry business. David led a team that analysed the target’s cost structure, its previous restructuring programmes and the PE firm’s own cost reduction plan. This work drew on data in a data room, meetings with Target management and interviews with architects of the Cerberus cost reduction plan. Business segments and geographies were analysed to understand cost structure, drivers and previous restructuring initiatives. David’s team drew from its analysis of cost structure likely areas for improvement. Separately, they analysed the PE plan’s rationale, estimates of quantum, implementation dependencies and timing of benefit. Together with outputs from the analysis of cost structure, they provided a clear view on the reasonableness on projected savings and their timing.

During the work, our diligence work enabled (1) several inconsistencies in the PE firm’s plan to be removed (2) identified upside to offset some of the timing and quantum risk within the plan, and (3) identified risks is a business where cost reductions seldom stuck.